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CLOROX CO /DE/ (CLX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY25 net sales fell 15% to $1.69B as the company lapped cyberattack-driven retail restocking and divestitures; gross margin expanded to 43.8% (+30 bps YoY) and diluted EPS rose 105% to $1.54; adjusted EPS was $1.55, down 28% YoY .
- Guidance raised: FY25 diluted EPS to $5.52–$5.92 (from $5.17–$5.42) and adjusted EPS to $6.95–$7.35 (from $6.65–$6.90); gross margin now +125–150 bps (from +100–150 bps); tax rate ~26% (adjusted ~23%) .
- Strategic catalyst: Clorox will end the Glad JV on Jan. 31, 2026 and intends to acquire P&G’s 20% interest; removal of the 20% cash flow payment (recorded in COGS) is expected to lift gross margin post-close .
- Management flagged temporary Q4 ERP-related shipment pull-forward (adds 1–2 pts to FY25 net sales, 25–45¢ EPS) to ensure on-shelf availability during the U.S. ERP go-live; reversal expected in 1H FY26 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Share gains and demand creation: “grew share in seven of its eight categories,” supported by innovation (Hidden Valley Easy Squeeze, Brita Plus, Fresh Step Heavy Duty) and marketing .
- Margin resilience and cost savings: ninth consecutive quarter of gross margin expansion; on track to fully rebuild gross margin in FY25 .
- ERP and transformation progress: detailed ERP plan with retailer coordination to minimize disruption; Canada rollout went smoothly; U.S. go-live planned with inventory build to avoid out-of-stocks .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line pressure from lapping recovery: net sales -15% (organic -9%) due to prior-year retail inventory restoration and VMS/Argentina divestitures; all segments posted YoY declines in Q2 .
- Household competitiveness: deeper-than-expected competitive promotions in Glad; segment adjusted EBIT -48% YoY, reflecting lower sales and higher M&L costs despite savings .
- Litter promotions elevated: temporarily higher promotional intensity to win back consumers and subscriptions post-cyberattack; planned innovation support, but near-term pressure persists .
Financial Results
Quarter-over-Quarter and Year-over-Year Summary
Notes: Adjusted EPS excludes cyberattack costs/recoveries, ERP/digital transformation expenses, and divestiture impacts as detailed in non-GAAP reconciliations .
Segment Breakdown – Q2 FY25
International organic sales grew +6% excluding Argentina and FX, driven by organic volume growth (+6 pts) .
KPIs and Cash Flow
Non-GAAP free cash flow reconciliation provided in supplemental schedule .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We achieved better-than-expected results across sales, margin and EPS in the second quarter due to our strong demand creation plans… on track to fully rebuild gross margin in fiscal year 2025.” — CEO Linda Rendle .
- “We feel very confident in our ability to… then building EBIT margins in that 25 to 50 basis points per year going forward” — CFO Kevin Jacobsen .
- On Glad JV: “We are excited to assume full control of the Glad business… confident that we will continue to drive profitable growth” — CEO Linda Rendle .
- On ERP shipments: “We’re planning on shipping ahead of consumption in Q4… build retail and company inventory… reverses in the front half of the fiscal year” — CFO-incoming Luc Bellet .
Q&A Highlights
- Gross margin trajectory: Q2 GM down QoQ on volume deleverage and BU mix; FY25 exit rate ~44–44.5% GM, cost savings remain strong .
- Organic sales outlook: Q3 reported sales down mid-single digits (divestitures -5–6 pts; FX -1 pt); organic low single digits; Q4 organic mid–high single digits with ERP benefit .
- Competitive promotions: Glad seeing deeper competitor discounting; Clorox responding within outlook; Litter promotions temporarily elevated to win back consumers .
- Tariffs: Not included in outlook; short supply chains and prior near-shoring reduce exposure; monitoring dynamic environment .
- Free cash flow and capital allocation: Target 11–13% of sales; likely at low end (~11%) after ERP cash timing; resuming buybacks ($250–$300MM) while maintaining dividend .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus data was unavailable at time of analysis due to access limits; management characterized Q2 results as “better-than-expected” internally across sales, margin and EPS .
- Given guidance raises (EPS, gross margin, net sales), Street models likely need to reflect: (1) ERP-related shipment timing (Q4 benefit; 1H FY26 reversal), (2) slightly higher gross margin uplift, and (3) lower tax rate assumptions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- FY25 guidance upgrade and ERP timing effects suggest near-term optical strength in Q4 and a mechanical reversal in 1H FY26; position around shipment timing and expected normalization .
- Glad JV wind-down and planned acquisition should structurally enhance margins post-close by eliminating P&G’s 20% cash flow charge in COGS; monitor purchase financing and fair value outcome .
- Household headwinds (Glad/Litter promotions, higher M&L) are transient; innovation and demand plans aim to sustain share gains while cost savings underpin margin resilience .
- International ex-divestitures is a consistent growth contributor; FX headwinds added in back half, but organic performance remains solid .
- Tax rate outlook cut (GAAP ~26%, adjusted ~23%) and lower supply chain inflation should support FY25 EPS despite competitive spend and FX .
- Dividend stability ($1.22 per share announced) and resumed buybacks highlight improving cash generation; watch ERP-related working capital in Q4 and reversal in FY26 .
- Execution risk around U.S. ERP go-live appears well-managed (retailer coordination, safety stock), but trading tactics should account for potential intermittent noise in shipments .
Additional Relevant Press Releases
- Dividend: “Clorox Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend of $1.22 Per Share” (Feb. 26, 2025) .
- CFO Transition: “Clorox CFO Kevin Jacobsen to Retire; Luc Bellet Named CFO” (Jan. 28, 2025) .
- CAGNY Appearance: “Clorox to Present at 2025 CAGNY Conference” (Feb. 4, 2025) .